Thanksgiving Picks for Devin Singletary, Lawrence Cager, Kirk Cousins

Happy Thanksgiving, everyone.

Before entering my accessoriesthere were two Thanksgiving specials that stood out to me DraftKings that I want to cover.

Josh Allen is +240 to save the most passing yards at Thanksgiving, and Gabe Davis is +1300 to lead the slate in acceptance sites.

I project Davis closer to +900 to top the receiving charts on Turkey Day. He has a wider range of results than most players, so you might say it should be lower.

Davis doesn’t need the volume of other receivers to win this bet given his ability to play big. There’s a scenario where he leads the slate with something like 125 receiving yards going into the last game of the night. If so, you can hedge your bet by betting on Justin Jefferson’s receiving yards. If Jefferson drops below his 88.5 totalanyone else is unlikely to go over 125. If he goes between 89 and 124 receiving yards, you’ll win both bets.

The bet on Allen goes hand in hand with Davis. I would say a fair price on Allen is closer to +200.

That said, here are my favorite accessories for all three Thanksgiving games.

Singletary just had a Season 18 high hasty attempts last week against Browns. It was just the third time he erased that total in 10 games.

Against Cleveland, Singletary benefited from Josh Allen recording season lows in passing (197) and rushing (seven) yards. I think we’ll see him bounce back with a big enough game in the air and on the ground that he’s chipping away at Singletary’s workload.

Plus, we saw second-round rookie James Cook record his best game of the season, with 11 gate for 86 rushing yards. The singular dominates the transmission and the 2-minute work, but the Invoices could continue to use Cook in early downs to keep the veteran fresh.

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Another thing that works against Singletary in this market is that he doesn’t get many attempts on third or fourth and runs. The Invoices have a surefire quarterback where they line up Gabe Davis behind Allen, pushing the QB forward.

There are also sneaky guardrails on this prop. If the the Lions are able to keep him close, it will force the Bills into a pass-heavy play script.

If the Bills get a huge lead, they tend to wrap Singletary and let Cook dominate the work. Buffalo may also want to finally get Nyheim Hines reps on offense. Any hasty attempts it gets will only help this accessory.

I’m projecting Singletary for over 12.5 rushing attempts and I’d bet that would go down to -140.

I can’t think of a better way to spend Thanksgiving than sweating a Lawrence Cager prop during dinner time (on the East Coast).

I think this prop offers sneaky value because the giants will likely be forced into a pass-heavy script as 10-point underdogs.

Daniel Jones has just lost his main target, Wan’Dale Robinson, for the rest of the season. That makes Darius Slayton the new go-to receiver, although it’s unclear who will emerge as the No. 2 option.

Cager will continue to be the giants‘ leads the pass-catching tight end until rookie Daniel Bellinger returns. Cager ran 70% of Jones’ dropbacks last week, and I expect to see similar usage with Robinson out.

The Cowboys generated the most pressure in the NFL this season. Jones has targeted his tight end 14% of the time in a clean pocket, but that rises to 19% when facing pressure.

Cager is a former wide receiver who converted to a tight end. He is 6 feet 5 inches tall and weighs 220 pounds. He’s not there to block. Plus, for what it’s worth, he had the second most acceptance sites among the tight ends of the preseason.

I’m projecting Cager for closer to 19.5 receiving yards here and I like his over advantage.

Cousins ​​has struggled under pressure this season. His yards per attempt go from 7.1 with a clean pocket to 5.4 when under pressure. With that, it was no surprise that the cousins ​​really struggled with the Cowboys since Dallas leads the league in pressure rating.

Cousins ​​faces another tough test against a patriots defense that ranks second in pressure rate. To make matters worse, left tackle Christian Darrisaw has already been ruled out.

Accordingly, I expect Minnesota to have a more conservative and heavier game plan against New England.

The patriots the attack could also struggle to score points, which helps reduce the chances of the cousins ​​getting into a game script that sees the vikings go heavy and play from behind.

I project this closer to 238.5 passing yards.

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