Five Week 6 games to exploit

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Time-adjusted fantasy points allowed, or AFPA, is 4for4’s answer to biased statistics. By removing bias, we can level the playing field and compare matchups in an apples-to-apples fashion. As the season progresses, the data changes. Either way, aFPA is arguably the best tool available to gain an advantage when using overrides and creating lineups.

Another point to underline: I could suggest to players like Josh Allen and Patrick Mahomes pretty much every week, especially when facing awful units according to the aFPA. This doesn’t do everyone a favor, so I’ll do my best to avoid registered players in the majority of fantasy leagues.

Here are the best games of week 6.

We have reached the first week where the byes modify the lists. Fortunately, there should be a few quarterbacks on the waiver wire who can replace you. Daniel Jones is one of the best options on the lower roster with the Ravens coming to town. The Ravens allow the sixth-most schedule-adjusted fantasy points to QBs, and the Giants have shown in consecutive weeks that the offense is on the rise. Few teams suffer on offense quite like the Giants, but the New Jersey-based franchise has won back-to-back games with game plans suited to attacking the main weakness in the opposing defense. Jones shone as a passer/rusher on the road in Week 5 and has a chance to push for a fantastic second 20-point performance in three weeks with lamar jackson ignore defenses.

The Broncos’ backfield is open to interpretation, but it looms large in their road game against the Chargers. Russell Wilson is dealing with a partially torn lat muscle, and despite throwing in practice, receiving treatment, and being about to start week 6, it would be wise to pull off the passing offense with the Chargers ranking 28th in the aFPA against running backs. Melvin Gordon 3, Latave Murray and mike boon offer enough versatility to prevent the Chargers from strictly taking on the run or the pass depending on the back(s) of each play. Gordon and Boone combined for 28 total touches in Week 5 before the public knew Wilson’s disease. Prior to Javonte Williams being lost for the season, the Broncos RB had 14 red zone holder, with Gordon carrying the ball 10 times. Murray also earned a red-zone run in his only appearance for the Saints.

A mix of three-headed backfield and quick passing from Wilson (and the continued absence of Keenan Allen?) will keep Justin Herbert out of the field. The Broncos’ defense has been solid for five games, but none of the offenses they’ve faced compare to what the Chargers are doing.

Fantasy managers should consider taking advantage of Melvin Gordon III and the Broncos’ backfield against the Chargers. (Photo by Cooper Neill/Getty Images)

Thursday night contests are hard to recommend, but Mooney has a chance to build on his (and Chicago’s) most promising offensive performance of the season. If we keep it simple over a short week, the offense continues David Montgomery, Khalil Herbert, Justin Fields and Darnell Mooney. Commanders won’t have time to modify their defense much, giving Mooney the opportunity to take on the 31st ranked unit against the WRs using the aFPA. Opposing WR1s have reached 100 receiving yards and/or scored in four of five games against Washington. The Commanders defense also allows 15.08 yards per reception. Chicago is far from exciting, but hanging on to Mooney finally pays off in time for the bye weeks.

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Sometimes the choice falls to you. As any analyst expected, go dissly is the TE1 in Seattle, while Zach Ertz continues to be a safety valve for Kyler Murray. Seattle and Arizona are 32nd and 31st in the tight aFPA, respectively, and shine as moving objects on Sunday afternoon. Both offense have a chance to return to health in a matchup with the second-highest/under of Week 6. Dissly is a great streamer with TJ Hockenson and Jesper Horsted (the heir apparent to Darren Waller) bye.

Honorable Mentions

Jimmy Garoppolo @ Hawks

Justin Fields against the commanders

Kirk Cousins @ Dolphins

Rhamander Stevenson @ Browns

A Benjamin/ Healthy Cardinals RB @ Seahawks

Single diviner @ Heads

Darrel Henderson Jr. against the panthers

Tyler Boyd @ Saintes

Darius Slayton against the crows

Daniel Bellinger against the crows

Irv Smith Jr. @ Dolphins

Evan Engram @ Foals

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Jeff has been practicing fantasy sports since 2001. He has covered fantasy and traditional sports at the professional, semi-professional and amateur level for the better part of a decade. Born in Illinois and currently living where James Robinson made his name in college, Jeff likes to run (establish it) and then do nothing.

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