Rams not looking good ahead of Cowboys matchup

When you have copper punch, find ways to get the ball to him. That’s smart.

The problem for Los Angeles Rams it’s that they don’t have anyone else they want to pass the ball to.

The Rams’ offensive problems were on display Monday night. the San Francisco 49ers turn them off. The Rams did not score a touchdown. The 49ers are very good defensively, but the lack of playmakers other than Kupp was concerning.

Los Angeles is a 5.5-point favorite on BetMGM against Dallas Cowboysand it is fair to ask if that differential is too high.

Nothing is happening on the field for the Rams, and there are a few reasons why. But it’s hard: Matthew StaffordHis average depth of target (aDOT) is 6.8 yards, which is tied for 27th out of 31 qualified quarterbacks. via Professional Soccer Spotlight. Last year it was 8.9, which ranked sixth. His deep passing percentage has dropped from 11.6% last season to 8.7% this season. That’s alarming for a quarterback whose career has been defined by deep passes.

Maybe Stafford’s elbow is part of the problem. His elbow problems were the talk of the preseason and while he has shown good speed on some pitches, it’s easy to wonder if his arm is one of the reasons the Rams’ offense has changed. The offensive line has also been a problem. Stafford doesn’t have much time to pitch. And then there is the problem of the receiver. New addition Allen Robinson II has been non-existent on offense and it appears his horrendous season with the chicago bears in 2021 was a sign of their decline and not just a Bears problem (Charles McDonald did a deep dive into the Rams’ offense at Four Verts this week).

Not that the Rams get a bye this week. The Cowboys have a very good defense. They go after the quarterback. Dallas is allowing 4.8 yards per pass attempt, tied for the lowest mark in the league. The offense has been fine with copper rush take care of Dak Prescott. The Cowboys are playing well enough that a 5.5-point difference seems disrespectful.

I’ll take the Cowboys and the points. I wouldn’t be surprised if they won outright. The Rams are still good, but there are a lot of issues they need to work out.

Los Angeles Rams wide receiver Allen Robinson II walks off the field as San Francisco 49ers players celebrate safety discuss contentThe touchdown from an interception. (AP Photo/Jed Jacobsohn)

Here are the rest of the picks against the spread for Week 5 of the NFL season, with point spreads from BetMGM:

It’s no fun backing the Broncos, but as I spoke in The Daily SweatIt’s still easier than taking the Colts.

Giants (+8) above packers

Another early morning game in London. The Packers are good, but they don’t look like they’re going to beat a lot of teams this season. Daniel JonesThe ankle injury is a concern, because his running ability is a big part of his game and the Packers’ defense can make life difficult for him. But he feels like too many points.

steelmakers (+14) over Bills

Teams generally bounce back when they get a new quarterback. Usually that’s due to injury and not a bench, but I can see the Steelers playing hard with rookie Kenny Pickett. The Steelers’ stocks in recent weeks indicated they were ripe for a change. Fading the Bills means there’s a chance you’re trailing 24-0 in the first half, remember the Titans game from Week 2, but you can’t be afraid to take the ugly looking underdogs.

Browns (+2.5) on chargers

I liked the Browns better when they were +3. Apparently others did too. The Chargers’ injuries remain a real challenge. They had a good victory over the jeans last week, but I’m still worried. The Browns are a team that will be in most games, and then it just depends on Jacob Brissett making the plays they need to win it.

Bears (+7.5) over Vikings

There are a lot of underdogs on my card this week and this might be the one I feel the least confident about. The Bears are incredibly difficult to watch on offense. His complete lack of confidence in justin fields is pushing back his playcalling 40 years. Even so, they are more than seven points and the Vikings return from Londonwhich is a difficult challenge.

Lions (+3) over Patriots

What happens when an offense led by Bailey Zappe faces the worst defense in the NFL? We’re about to find out. The Patriots’ plays got too conservative last week with Zappe in the game, and that’s understandable. I can see that being the focus this week as well. The Lions can score, there should be no doubt about that. I don’t know how much New England can score with this offense.

Seahawks (+5.5) over Santos

Is the Seahawks offense good? It’s hard to accept that, but Geno Smith is playing well. His 555 yards last week had a lot more to do with the Lions’ defense than anything else, but Seattle’s offense has been pretty amazing. The Saints also have the post-London problem, and their offense is not good. Another underdog.

Dolphins (-3) over Jets

Again, teams with new quarterbacks often rally around that guy. And Teddy Bridgewater is a viable quarterback. The Jets had a good win over the Steelers last week, but I think the Dolphins are the better team. They also have extra rest.

Falcons (+9) over Buccaneers

The concern here is that the Falcons might not score. I still believe in the Bucs’ defense (Patrick Mahomes will wreck a lot of teams), and Cordarrelle Patterson’s injury is a big deal considering the Falcons don’t want to pass the ball. But this seems like one of those seasons for the Buccaneers where everything is going to be tough for them. And Atlanta has been competitive.

Titans (-2) over Commanders

I still don’t know if I’m sold on the Titans this season, but their win over the Colts was big. Washington started the season well by beating the Jaguars and has been ugly ever since. I have more confidence that Tennessee will play well.

Texans (+7) over Jaguars

Are this season’s Texans like last season’s Lions, a team that doesn’t win a lot but covers a lot of spreads? The Texans haven’t won yet, but they are 2-1-1 against the spread and had a good shot to cover against the Chargers last week before giving up a late touchdown. This was a tough pick because I think the Jaguars are good and they’ll bounce back, but the Texans are energetic.

49ers (-6.5) over Panthers

Here’s an underdog I can’t bring myself to believe. If the 49ers can secure the Rams offense, what will they do with this broken Panthers offense? Baker Mayfield is fighting a lotand taking on the 49ers defense won’t help.

Cardinals (+5.5) over Eagles

Sometimes you have to turn off your brain when choosing the NFL. Nothing we’ve seen would lead you to believe the Cardinals are the right side. I’ve been the biggest cheerleader for the Eagles this season. I’m not that fond of the Cardinals. But it’s the NFL. Absolutely weird things happen every week and this broadcast has me on my toes.

Bengals (+3) over Ravens

Can I bet on a push? I think this one lands right on the line. Let’s not forget how dominant the Bengals were in both meetings against the Ravens last season. The Ravens were banged up last season, but there’s something strange about them this season besides Lamar Jackson’s incredible play. The Bengals also get an extra break. It is a great test for both teams. Fun Sunday night game.

Raiders (+7) on Bosses

Let’s finish with another underdog. I really don’t think the Raiders are that bad. They’ve played close in all three of their losses this season, and we’re going 4-for-4 on Monday night.

In the past week: 6-9-1

Season to date: 31-32-1

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